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31/10/2013

IMIM: New statistic model forecasts the effect of tobacco consumption on childhood asthma

IMIM: New statistic model forecasts the effect of tobacco consumption on childhood asthma


News from IMIM


A scientific study recently published on International Journal of Statistics in Medical Research states that tobacco consumption must be decreased by 15% in Spain, particularly at home, in order to reduce the number of childhood asthma cases. The research is signed by professors Toni Monleón-Getino and Martín Ríos, from the Department of Statistics of the UB, and experts Oriol Vall, Carme Puig, Òscar Garcia-Algar and Antonella Chiandetti, members of the Childhood and Environment Research Group of the Hospital del Mar Medical Research Institute (IMIM).

Asthma is the most common chronic illness during childhood and adolescence in industrialized countries. Several factors have been proposed to explain asthma. It affects between 10% and 17% of children and teenagers in Spain. There is no treatment to cure this illness which may decrease considerably patients’ quality of life. Although its prevalence has been increasing over the last 40 years in many countries, no statistical or simulation model existed to forecast the evolution of childhood asthma in Europe.

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Reference:

T. Monleón Getino, C. Puig, O. Vall, M. Ríos, A. Chiandetti, O. Garcia Algar. «Prediction of Childhood Asthma Using Conditional Probability and Discrete Event Simulation», International Journal of Statistics in Medical Research, 2013, 2. DOI: 10.6000/1929-6029.2013.02.03.2